Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.157664 11.714489 13.385407 15.306929 17.450193 19.761816 22.437999
2025-09-07 7.980131 10.060898 12.454855 15.392600 18.878981 22.862182 27.733663
2025-09-14 6.628335 8.953312 11.773840 15.406473 19.916256 25.284072 32.104826
2025-09-21 5.730908 8.211504 11.358680 15.577730 21.011227 27.694002 36.445616
2025-09-28 4.971726 7.520935 10.889718 15.570719 21.797150 29.676396 40.265435
2025-10-05 4.504275 7.149794 10.773292 15.966923 23.068495 32.273693 44.914916
2025-10-12 4.074331 6.771101 10.591908 16.229123 24.135668 34.611187 49.280449
2025-10-19 3.658459 6.359295 10.313531 16.311546 24.929074 36.583450 53.202439
2025-10-26 3.168722 5.775429 9.725133 15.890214 24.968187 37.502920 55.705799
2025-11-02 2.777601 5.300111 9.250070 15.584824 25.129725 38.565477 58.406537
2025-11-09 2.433772 4.861151 8.787643 15.253351 25.214342 39.496576 60.926080
2025-11-16 2.143785 4.479134 8.378507 14.965369 25.330576 40.454082 63.488209
2025-11-23 1.850164 4.058721 7.873974 14.495190 25.148860 40.978015 65.462696
2025-11-30 1.686634 3.858307 7.720129 14.576370 25.814833 42.765643 69.320973
2025-12-07 1.530432 3.652258 7.536473 14.589624 26.363475 44.383896 72.965270
2025-12-14 1.412952 3.508205 7.448520 14.753372 27.151779 46.381724 77.222463
2025-12-21 1.284106 3.324428 7.271144 14.746668 27.653406 47.945048 80.858281
2025-12-28 1.216613 3.262434 7.313985 15.125552 28.802949 50.545438 86.137069
2026-01-04 1.139223 3.169111 7.288260 15.376330 29.741939 52.836311 90.993146
2026-01-11 1.049475 3.036337 7.173789 15.455169 30.385624 54.669693 95.178940
2026-01-18 0.919442 2.791257 6.813499 15.052190 30.172964 55.109190 97.180042
2026-01-25 0.814181 2.590193 6.523809 14.760155 30.133652 55.818273 99.612835
2026-02-01 0.718107 2.397238 6.232620 14.443229 30.029106 56.406803 101.856093